Due to the increase in traffic on my blog, I have seen "hits" to past posts, and have begun to read them, both to get a sense of how my opinions may have changed, and to update them with a larger font to ease future reading. Since I began using the larger font in 2021, there are hundreds of posts to upgrade.
As I may have mentioned before, this process has alerted me to the stark realization that I am no longer hopeful for the future. Certainly not in the short run.
While many of my past posts detailed the shortcomings of our government leaders, or our current iteration of capitalism, or various Supreme Court decisions, or even just the state of our democracy and the complacent attitude of our citizenry towards their responsibility to participate via research and dialogue in its care, I generally ended with hope that an awakening might be forthcoming.
I've written many stories along this vein, all with the firm belief that it was only my impatience that presented the biggest obstacle, impatience that what I though we were capable of, was just not manifesting itself quickly enough. But that it would, over time.
Now I am not so sure, not certain that progress is inevitable, and that humanity will eventually figure it out.
After all, countless civilizations have come and gone that we know of, let alone those that may have inhabited Earth before our written history, not to mention the possibility of life on any of the millions of planets in any of the millions of solar systems in our galaxy, which is one of the millions in our universe.
For all we know, fictional stories like Star Trek which feature all types of life forms from the four corners of the known universe, could reflect reality, which also means that civilizations come and go like so many twigs down a fast flowing stream.
The real question then is, how much of this change of heart is related to the simple fact that I am much closer to my own death than my birth? How much is a reflection of my own sense of mortality?
I would like to think that I am not afraid of death, although living a few years with limited cognitive awareness or severe physical restrictions is another issue.
I am not a firm believer in the afterlife, heaven and hell. I am certainly not sure of some type of eternal reward, having long ago rejected the basis of my birth religion which teaches that salvation lies in the belief of John 3 16.
At the same time, while I don't deny my past, the life I've lived, the people I spent time with, the actions, good and bad, I engaged in, I don't necessarily long for the "good old" days, not withstanding the energy of youth.
I accept my rose colored glasses reminisces, even enjoy relating the adventures of my youth to the occasional listener who encourages me, but I also know that I was lucky to have been born a white male in the late 1950's, and that my experiences were inextricably tied to this birth lottery win.
The point of all this, I guess, is to at least acknowledge that fading hope is part and parcel with growing old, yet for me, is not just because I wish to return to the days of my irresponsible youth. I feel that I can both acknowledge that I am experiencing less hope due to my advancing age, but also can see what is going on. One does not cancel out the other or make the other less real or observable.
So, all that being said, I expect some of all of the following things to occur in the next twelve to eighteen months.
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There are some who pose the question, what will happen when Trump defies a court order. As far as I am concerned, he is already doing just that, so the answer, for now, is nothing will happen. At least not at first. Perhaps as the number of unconstitutional executive orders accumulate, and as the rebukes from various courts mount up, there will be some blow back. But it certainly won't come from Congress, the GOP in both houses having already abdicated there power to the executive they worship, and are afraid of. And, sadly, the Dems in Congress have shown themselves to be almost as spineless, although they sure do engage in some grandstanding in their ineffectiveness.
As for the Supreme Court, where so many challenges to Trump's abuses of power are headed, I do expect some decisions that the MAGA world will decry, but then what? When their rulings are ignored, when threats of impeachment are levied, if not against them then certainly against lower level federal judges, how will they enforce those decisions?
Which brings us to the People. I fully expect many, and perhaps very large protests to be organized once the weather improves. Certainly there will be disturbances on some college campuses, and in urban settings. Obviously, this is not lost on the current administration as the investigations into various colleges over protests against Israel's slaughter of Palestinian women and children indicate, not to mention the threat of the withholding of funds, and the deportation of protesters who may not be American born.
At this point, I anticipate martial law to be declared, if not nation wide, certainly in specific places, not coincidentally, places where voters did not support the current president. For me, it is not a matter of if, but when. Even more tragically, when the United States military is called to action to suppress these protests, there will be American citizens killed.
The only question will be who will emulate Neil Young and write a 2025 version of the song that begins
But not to be outdone, there will be increasing levels of disease and death as the unscientific policies of RFK Jr begin to be implemented. It won't matter when American children die of diseases that had been virtually wiped out by 21st century discovery and implementation of vaccines, he will just blame poor diet, and a parent's right to allow their children to suffer, and die from a preventable disease.
No real news there, really, since we will participate in the deaths of children all around the world since helping other countries prevent the suffering and death of children through USAID programs, among others, do not produce a profit, or are just not a priority for the richest man in the world and his DOGEmen, not to mention that we are OK with gun violence being the current leading cause of death among those 4 years old and less. Perhaps allowing preventable disease to take that number one spot, as it was for decades, will provide some satisfaction to the gun manufacturers when they can say their products aren't the leading cause for children's deaths anymore.
So, once martial law is declared, the suspension of certain first amendment rights will follow. After all, the constitution is not applicable to an executive with wide ranging immunity from prosecution and accountability (thank you SCOTUS), especially when he cloaks his unconstitutional actions in executive orders.
Also, as I have said in a previous post, Trump will sign a national abortion ban should one land on his desk. There are already women dying due to abortion being returned to the states, this will increase that number tenfold.
Lastly, but certainly not less important, I expect that the Supreme Court will return gay marriage to the states later this year, or early next year. The cases are already teed up by states like Idaho and North Dakota. This will be devastating for the LBGTQ+ community as there is not doubt that at least 20 states will outlaw gay marriage once allowed. And don't worry, those red states won't make the mistake of putting gay marriage up for a referendum. They won't take that chance.
Already legislatures in states like Missouri and Ohio are finding ways to void their citizens votes to include reproductive rights in their state's constitution, so, lesson learned.
The real question is, will there be a midterm election. Up until recently, I wouldn't have even considered typing such a hyperbolic and outlandish thought, the old Joe being hopeful that sanity and logic would prevail. But now, it won't surprise me when Trump declares that we can't take the chance that the Dems will steal the midterm elections just as they did the 2020 presidential election, so for the sake of democracy we must delay another election.
This last executive order will then allow him to double down on the further suspension of our first amendment rights, free speech, the press, the right to protest and to petition the government. You know, all those things that allow people to express their dissatisfaction with a government that is not responsive to the people's wishes.
In addition to the stranglehold that the new administration will seek to put in place in terms of limiting protests against his policies, and sending DOJ and FBI to prosecute various news outlets that he deems less than submissive, Trump's version of the weaponization of these institutions, I also expect the resurgence of American imperialism as there is no doubt that the current president wants to extend our power and dominance over other nations or territories through political, economic, or military influence, as is the definition of imperialism.
He has more than once stated that we will own Greenland "one way or another," and has threatened to take over the Panama Canal, not ruling our military action.
And then there is Canada.
One of our most loyal allies, a country which routinely sends emergency personnel to help combat the various weather emergencies that have occurred in border states, and even states much further from our shared border. Our second largest trading partner, and in fact, the largest trading partner for many states within our country.
Sadly, Trump continually insults the leaders of Canada, and by extension, its citizens. He has so roiled our relationship with this pivotal ally that our national anthem is being booed at professional sporting events.
In all these situations, what the citizens of each of these countries desires is irrelevant. Trump knows best for them, and resistance to his royal decrees is not important. A sentiment that he certainly would extend to citizens of other countries since he believes it true for Americans.
It's no wonder that he sides with Putin over Ukraine, as that is exactly how a megalomaniac leads his country, and perceives the world. Just another resource for the taking as long as I have the bigger military or stronger economy to force them into submission.
I know, rather bleak.
Who knows, perhaps I will be able to publish a future post in which I admit I was wrong, admit I over reacted, admit that Trump was more bluster than action. Perhaps.
If so, I will be ecstatic to acknowledge my incorrect predictions. I guess only time will tell.
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